Christmas Dinner Prices Will Increase in 2025

Price Increase The choice of items for the Christmas dinner has become a recurring theme each year, and 2025 was no exception.

In this article, we will explore recent data on the prices of typical products for this festival, highlighting the significant increases, especially in cod, which showed an impressive rise.

The analysis also covers other traditional foods, such as pork loin, festive poultry, and items of greater sentimental value, such as panettone and chocotone.

Based on a survey of over 13 million receipts, we will understand how these prices impact end-of-year celebrations.

Overview of Christmas Dinner Prices in 2025

In 2025, the price of Christmas dinner increased considerably, as demonstrated by a detailed study that analyzed more than... 13 million invoices throughout Brazil.

This analysis revealed that 9 out of 13 items Traditional holiday meals have seen price increases, highlighting a worrying trend for families looking to plan their festivities.

Among the highlights, the Codfish recorded an impressive increase of 84.7%, jumping from R$ 61.59 to R$ 113.36 in just one year.

O pork loin went up 18%Meanwhile, festive birds, such as Chester and Fiesta, recorded a high of 16.9%.

In contrast, some items saw a decline, such as olive oil, with a decrease of 23,8%.

The outlook reflects the inflation affecting the table at this time of year, as detailed by industry sources, demonstrating the need for greater financial planning during this celebration.

Record Increase in Cod Prices

Cod, traditionally present at Christmas dinner, surprised everyone by registering an impressive increase in... 84,7%.

This increase raised its price by R$ 61.59 in November 2024 for R$ 113.36 in the same period in 2025. This sharp increase significantly impacted the budgets of Brazilian families, who traditionally include cod as a main dish in their Christmas celebrations.

Furthermore, this imported product was intensely affected by global economic fluctuations and high seasonal demand.

As reported in the article... Northeast On portalCodfish stood out as the item that weighed most heavily on consumers' wallets in 2025, even being considered a luxury by some.

An expert in the food industry stated: “The surge in the price of cod is directly linked to the challenges of international transport and the growing demand for this premium food during this festive period.

“

Price Fluctuations of Festive Meats

In 2025, prices for holiday meats experienced significant fluctuations, with the price of pork loin showing the most notable increase. 18%, reflecting the impact of production costs.

Meanwhile, festive birds, such as Chester and Fiesta, saw an increase of 16,9%, indicating a continued demand for these Christmas products.

The traditional turkey, in turn, showed a more modest increase of 2,4%, suggesting a stability in consumer interest in this bird compared to previous years.

On the other hand, a reduction in the prices of other popular items was observed: 11,3% of falling in the tender and 1,9% in the ham.

These variations reflect a market adjustment in response to fluctuations in inventory and demand.

It's worth remembering that, according to price surveys, such as that of Christmas Dinner 2025 – Cod and price changesThis fluctuation has brought challenges to consumers, impacting their Christmas dinner planning.

List of variations:

• 18% high price of pork loin
• 16,9% high demand for festive birds
• 2,4% high in traditional Peru
• 11,3% of falling tender
• 1,9% of falling off the leg

Sharp Drop in Olive Oil Price

A reduction of 23.8% The price of olive oil in 2025 stood out as a relief for Brazilian consumers, especially for Christmas dinner.

This contraction reflects the recovery of European harvests, a significant improvement after years of climate challenges that impacted production.

In parallel, the devaluation of the dollar It increased imports to Brazil, stimulating domestic competition and expanding supply in the market.

Furthermore, the harmonization of climatic conditions contributed to to restore trust from the producers, ensuring a adequate supply level and consequently, making it easier a reduction in prices for the consumer.

Therefore, it is understood that the combination of these factors had a notable impact on the value chain, highlighting the importance of the global context in local price dynamics.

Items of Sentimental Value and Accessories

Panettone and Chocotone experienced an increase in 6,4%, reinforcing its emotional value during Christmas celebrations.

These items, almost obligatory on Brazilian tables during this time of year, represent not only cultural symbolism, but also an increasingly heavy financial burden for consumers.

Similarly, the added value of wines and sparkling wines, which rose modestly. 1,5%This suggests a stabilization of prices in this segment, allowing them to remain a popular choice for end-of-year festivities.

In addition, the accompaniments to the Christmas dinner, such as condensed milk, farofa (toasted cassava flour), and raisins, also showed increases.

The price of condensed milk increased by 1,3%while the farofa had a small addition of 0,3%.

Raisins have already gone up. 7,6%.

For a better understanding, see below:

These increases highlight the impact of inflation on products with great emotional significance for Brazilians.

In shortThe data reveals that Christmas dinner in 2025 will be marked by high prices, with cod leading the list.

Changes in the market reflect the current economic reality, which may require adaptations to Christmas traditions.